Rainfall distribution function for Libya and rainfall prediction Distribution statistique et prédétermination des pluies mensuelles en Libye


Şen Z., Eljadid A.

Hydrological Sciences Journal, cilt.44, sa.5, ss.665-680, 1999 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 44 Sayı: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 1999
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/02626669909492266
  • Dergi Adı: Hydrological Sciences Journal
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.665-680
  • İstanbul Medipol Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

Monthly rainfall amounts are distributed according to different frequency distribution functions in different parts of the world. However, in extremely arid regions gamma probability distribution functions are most often found to fit the existing data well. Libyan monthly rainfall distributions are found to abide by gamma probability distribution function which is confirmed on the basis of chi-square tests. Almost all the rainfall sequences recorded for at least the last 20 years in Libya are investigated statistically and gamma distribution parameters are calculated at existing stations. The shape and scale parameters are then regionalized and hence it becomes possible to find the parameter values at any desired location within the study area and then to generate synthetic sequences according to the gamma distribution. Predictions of 10, 25, 50 and 100 mm rainfall amounts are achieved by this probability function. © 1999 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.